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                                                                                                                                                                          www.xpj6676.com点击进入官方直营网站!:瑞达期货:焦煤上行或有压力,短期维持区间操作

                                                                                                                                                                          2019年01月18日 17:50 来源:沈阳市—朵唯培训有限公司

                                                                                                                                                                          (原标题:瑞达期货:焦煤上行或有压力,短期维持区间操作)

                                                                                                                                                                          盘面情况:JM1905日内增仓上行,最高报1245.5,最低报1226.0,收盘1238.0,较上一交易日+0.81%;成交量274626,+42738;持仓303664,+25224;基差317,-6.5;JM5-9月价差-87,+0.5。

                                                                                                                                                                          消息:河南省1月14日召开的能源工作会议透露,今年河南省将加速能源消费“脱黑向绿”,煤炭消费占比降至70%以内,降低2个百分点;可再生能源消费比重达到8.5%,提高0.5个百分点。

                                                                                                                                                                          市场报价:

                                                                                                                                                                          唐山主焦煤(A11-12,S0.8-0.9,V22,G85,Y17-23)出厂价报1555元/吨,较上一交易日持平;京唐港主焦煤山西产(A8%,V25%,0.9%S,G85)库提含税价报1860元/吨,较上一交易日持平;澳大利亚进口主焦煤(A9%,V26%,0.4%S,G87,Y15mm)库提含税价报1600吨,较上一交易日跌40元/吨。

                                                                                                                                                                          仓单库存:焦煤仓单1400手,+0。

                                                                                                                                                                          主力持仓:当日主力合约前20名净多持仓量91108手,净空持仓量103918手,净空持仓量12810手,维持净空持仓,净空持仓量继续增加。

                                                                                                                                                                          总结:国内炼焦煤市场价格持稳,受煤矿事故的持续性影响以及随着新年临近放假的煤矿数量增多,炼焦煤供应呈现下滑。受新年放假及安全检查影响,炼焦煤市场看稳心态继续增强,预计年前价格持稳为主。下游焦化企业开工依旧高位,需求维持稳定。在供应缩减而需求稳定的情况,预计焦煤市场或继续持稳运行。技术上,JM1905合约,日内增仓增量,期价呈现小幅上涨,MACD红色动能柱缩小幅度变小,关注上方1260一线的压力,下方关注1210一线的支撑,短期焦煤期价维持稳定。操作上,建议高抛低吸,可以尝试在1210-1260区间操作,止损各15个点。

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